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dtsdlaw

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Everything posted by dtsdlaw

  1. I think the team could definitely face attendance issues and financial woes due to a lower revenue stream. They're rebuilding with youth, so they may not need to fork over big contracts for the next 4-5 years, but I think it could definitely catch up with them in the long run in terms of attracting UFAs or re-signing their own RFAs. The timing of the rebuild is also a bit unfortunate. The Ducks already get bumped from radio for Angels pre-season games in the spring when they're in the home stretch fighting for the playoffs, and with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George coming to the Clippers, you have to wonder if they'll be bounced from Fox Sports TV broadcasts this coming season as well. As a San Diegan, I'm already worried that Fox Sports San Diego will be choosing to show the Clippers over the Ducks since both of those are considered FSSD teams, and that the Ducks will be stuck on KCAL for more broadcasts (which we don't get down here). If the Clippers are good and become a trendy ticket, I also think they could eat into the Ducks attendance, especially if the Ducks play poor or even middle-of-the-road hockey.
  2. I don't think Kase will be on LTIR. He had his shoulder surgery January 30th and the recovery period was stated as 5-6 months. Even if there's a setback in his recovery, you would still expect him to be ready by the start of the season. And speaking of Kase, there was a decent article on him by The Hockey Writers last week here: https://thehockeywriters.com/kase-ducks-2019-20-x-factor/. A sampling... That aside, you're right, that's a lot of cap space. Wonder if ownership is making GMBM stay low this season to make up for the Perry buyout.
  3. So with the Wideman and Kloos signings yesterday, the Ducks are almost to the 50 contract limit with 48 contracts on the books (technically only 47 if Dostal goes back to Europe this coming season). 47/48 contracts is typically where we end up at the start of training camp, so I think its unlikely that GMBM signs anymore players to NHL SPCs at this point, and that the rest of the Gulls roster will be filled out with AHL-only contracts. So barring a trade, looks like our 2019-2020 Ducks roster is set, with just position battles remaining to determine who makes the Ducks lineup and who gets an Amtrak ticket. As much as I'm disappointed with GMBM's lack of moves for the big club (cough#4Dcough), I do have to say that the Gulls could be really good again this season, even with Terry, Steel, and possibly others moving up. Between Comtois, Lundestrom, and Morand graduating to the AHL (possibly more) and bringing in Poturalski and Wideman, the Gulls should be able to maintain what they had going last season talent-wise. I'm excited to get Dineen behind the bench too. Could be a really fun season in San Diego.
  4. He would for $850K. That’s more than double what he was making in Finland.
  5. Not forgotten. Just disregarded. Hakanpaa is a former 4th round pick of the Blues who washed out of North American hockey five years ago. This signing has "Ryan Lasch, Part Kaksi" written all over it. I honestly think that Hakanpaa was signed to play the complementary right side in San Diego with either Larsson or Mahura, not to be a Ducks regular, and so he's not making any of my prospective lineups for next season.
  6. Exactly! Terry, Jones and Comtois look like they are the future of this team, but it would not surprise me if they all started the season in San Diego. Bob has not changed his spots. As much as this team is going through a "youth movement", he is not going to be handing out roster spots to rookies just because. He likes his veterans. He likes his grinders. There's a really good chance that a lot of us are going to hate the opening night roster that likely includes Shore, Deslauriers, Grantzlaf, and Rowney over some of our more exciting young talent.
  7. At least he doesn't have a $5M cap number and we didn't have to trade away a future 40 goal scorer to get him. In all seriousness though, I don't get this move. MDZ is a borderline 3rd pair D-man at this point in his career (he didn't even get in a single game during the Blues Cup run), but with Larsson, Guehle and Mahura all vying for that 3rd pair LHD spot, it worries me that GMBM (1) has MDZ penciled in as a 2nd pair guy to play with Fowler, and (2) has Fowler penciled in to play the right side on the 2nd pairing. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I seem to recall GMBM had MDZ-Fowler together for about 7-8 games last season before MDZ was traded to St Louis. At the time I assumed GMBM was just trying to pump MDZ's trade value before the deadline by showcasing him with Cam, but apparently he actually liked that pairing.... enough to bring MDZ back for another season at least. Personally, I really disliked Fowler on the right side last season and thought he played his best hockey at the end of the season when he was back on the left side with Welinski as his partner... not that Welinski should have been a 2nd pair player, but I thought Fowler was better on his natural side playing with someone who could actually skate and move the puck. I was REEEAAALLLY hoping that GMBM would be bringing in a 2nd-pair RHD to play with Cam, but the MDZ signing may be the writing on the wall. Man, it's hard to believe how far our defense has fallen in terms of quality NHL players and prospects. [sigh]
  8. Dineen in as Gulls coach! Cool! He was on my list as a Ducks HC candidate, but I’ll definitely welcome him here in San Diego! I also wouldn’t mind seeing him elevated to a Ducks asst coach position if the offense and PP continues to struggle under Morrison.
  9. Speaking of broken players, anyone else see Patrick Eaves' Twitter post in late June of him working out? Dude looks fit and strong. I wonder if he'll show up to camp looking to play again and, if so, I also wonder if we could trade him somewhere to free up some cap space and save some salary.
  10. I think his shoulder surgery was January 30th and they said the recovery time would be 5-6 months, so we're still inside that time frame. Although I imagine they leave him listed on IR until he reports to camp healthy.
  11. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    I don't follow. I thought it was 40 games the previous season or a total of 70 games the previous two seasons combined for forwards? But if you're just talking about a 10-game threshold for 20+ year-olds to accrue a pro season, I wonder what the heck Ken Holland was thinking when he let Taro Hirose and Ryan Kuffner play exactly 10 games for the Wings at the end of this past season after signing them as undrafted UFAs when they finished their college seasons. Is Holland just dumb? I mean, if it's 10 games for 20+ guys like you say it is, why not just play Hirose and Kuffner in 9 games to prevent them from accruing a professional season towards expansion draft eligibility? btw, every article I've seen that argues for the 11 game threshold always cites back to Capfriendly as their source. I love Capfriendly, but Capfriendly has been wrong in the past about CBA rules, players contract clauses, etc., so I do not consider them to be a definitive source. Case in point, Hirose and Kuffner are currently listed by Capfriendly on their exempt list for the 2021 ED even though they would clearly be 3rd year players in 2021 based the rules Capfriendly is advocating.
  12. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    So applying the waivers rules, A player who turns 20 on December 31st needs only ONE game in any professional league anywhere in the world to meet the threshold for a pro season?? Wow. That. Is. Dumb.
  13. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    I'm still skeptical about the 11 game threshold argument. The CBA says 10 or more NHL games (for 18 & 19 y/o) for earning a year of professional experience towards free agency (Article 10) and 10 or more games for earning a year of professional experience towards arbitration rights (Article 12), but we're supposed to believe that the ED rules for 1st and 2nd year pros will follow the waivers rules in Article 13 instead? I'd love to be wrong about this (since it would mean Comtois won't need protection), but I don't buy it. I'm going to assume its the "10 or more NHL games" threshold under Articles 10 & 12 until a reputable source says otherwise. I think Comtois will need to be protected.
  14. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    Kesler’s NMC converts to a modified NTC in 2021, so he’s not required to be protected. And I’m sure Getz will be onboard with re-signing after the ED so he won’t have to take up a spot on the protected list. You’re correct with Comtois and Sherwood though. They would be eligible. Which just further shows that the Ducks have a crapload of players that will be both eligible for the ED and very desirable to Seattle. Might as well just keep adding more so that when one is plucked from the roster it doesn’t sting as bad.
  15. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    The Ducks are already going to have to expose good players in the expansion draft, aren't they? Just from the current crop of forwards, it looks to me like the following are eligible to be exposed (assuming all are still here and under contract): Rakell, Silfverberg, Henrique, Kase, Ritchie, Terry, Steel, Jones, Sprong, and Shore. I'm not sure I get the concept of "don't acquire good players because you might lose on in the ED." Why not just get as many good players as possible so that it doesn't hurt as bad to lose one? Also, regarding the current cap space, several of the ELCs have performances bonuses built in (such as Terry's $850K PB) so GMBM has to be a little careful with that. Since Perry's cap hit is already going to eat $6.625M in 2020-21, GMBM needs to be absolutely sure the team doesn't take an additional hit next season due to performance bonus overages this coming season. But even so, I estimate the Ducks could add another $5M-$6M to their cap this season and next, and they'd still be in fine cap shape even without using a dime of LTIR space. Given that space, it sure feels frustrating that GMBM hasn't made a move on the #4D spot yet. But with so many good UFAs and RFAs still unsigned, there still seems to be a lot of options out there to improve the defense. So we gotta just keep the faith that GMBM will do something eventually this summer to keep Gibby from getting killed....
  16. Perry regular season: 17,901mins / 372G / 404A / 776pts Pavelski regular season: 18,182mins / 355G / 406A / 761pts Perry playoffs: 2,152mins / 36G / 53A / 89pts Pavelski playoffs: 2,747mins / 48G / 52A / 100pts Pavelski (7th round, pick # 205) was also drafted 177 spots later than Perry (1st round, pick # 28) in that infamous 2003 draft. Great careers for both guys though.
  17. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    That’s an interesting question. From an organization perspective, how do you keep around a guy who ran your team into the ground? And from RC’s perspective, would you even want to remain with a team whose players quit on you? Maybe it’d be best for all involved to just move on.
  18. Forward lines are solid, although they look defensively suspect. The defensive pairings are terrifying. Larsson, Guhle and Hakanpaa have combined 82 games of NHL experience between them. Gibby is going to get killed if GMBM doesn’t bring in another legit NHL D-man.
  19. The Avs are marginally better in the forward lines thanks to swapping out Soderberg for Kadri at the 2C, but their defense also got worse with the loss of Barrie. They have an incredible duo in MacKinnon and Rantanen, but after those two guys I see nothing that scares me at all. I certainly don't think they are clearly ahead of the Ducks right now. And I expect our roster to still improve between now and opening day.
  20. So you’re saying there’s a chance? I’m actually with you on this. The Ducks are a top-4 RHD away from being a playoff team, and a bounce-back season from Rakell and Kase from being a really dangerous team that nobody will want to face in the 1st round. Then if Steel or one of the other young Ducklings can seize the 3C role and make it a legit 3rd line, this team could actually go far. That’s a lot that has to go right, but it’s not out of the question.
  21. I still think GMBM will add at least one more vet to the blue line to fill the #4 spot next to Fowler. He’s likely got several options in play and is just waiting for the best deal to materialize before pulling the trigger. On the UFA side, after getting burned by the length of the contracts he gave to Stoner, Allen, and Souray, I think he’d be trying to wait it out a bit longer to get a shorter term. In terms of trade, there are still teams out there that need to move a D-man for one reason or another, but everyone seems to be at a standstill right now, maybe waiting to see which RFAs file for arbitration. The lower cap really seems to have thrown off a lot of GMs this year. The forwards seem pretty much set. The Deslauriers trade basically confirms that Bob is still Bob, and that the Ducks won’t be icing half a starting lineup of rookies. “Youth movement” to him means having 2-3 young players in the lineup, not 7. So we’re probably looking at a top-6 of Raks-Getz-Silf and Ritchie-Rico-Kase. Shore stays as a 3rd line LW (much to the chagrin of many posters here) and the 4th line is an energy line with some combination of Jones, Deslauriers, Grantzlaf, Rowney, and Sherwood. That leaves an open competition for 3C between Steel, Lundestrom, Carrick and Poturalski, and a competition for 3RW between Terry and Sprong. Although I still think Sprong, Lundestrom and Larsson are the most likely candidates to be moved if there’s a trade.
  22. dtsdlaw

    Sutter??!?

    Love this move! Let's also not forget Sutter guided a team to the SCF as a GM too (Calgary 2004). Mush mouth aside, he is a legit hockey genius. Making him an "occasional coach" is a great idea and should reduce the chances of him wearing out his welcome in the dressing room too soon. And lord knows Eakins needs a mentor since he's never actually had one. I also really like the idea of him helping GMBM make personnel decisions. Sutter will be able to bridge the gap between what is actually happening on the ice and what Bob thinks he is seeing from his view in the luxury suite. Now if we could just add some defenders to protect Gibby....
  23. Guess Bob finally just realized they needed someone with actual playoff experience. Or, based on Bob's current roster, maybe they don't.
  24. On the contrary, the signings of Deslauriers and Grantzlaf, and the fact that we haven't traded Devin Shore or any of our RWs to clear the way for Jones, Comtois, Terry and Sherwood, leads me to believe that Bob Murray may be stocking up for a serious run at the Calder Cup.
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